Greg Moran.

Founder · Investor · Author

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Every dollar you raise is a floor your exit has to clear.

Greg Moran · November 2026 · 5 min read

Short answer

Every dollar you raise is a floor your exit has to clear. Buyers price on cash flow, not on what you raised. Know the exit price where common stock gets zero. Get profitable enough that you can still say no.

I have raised more than $300 million over 25 years. I am not anti-VC. But I sit on the buy side now too, and I keep watching good companies get stuck under their own cap table.

The pattern

The same company keeps showing up in our deal flow. Real product. Real customers. Five to fifteen million in ARR. Raised on a growth plan that did not happen. The next round is not coming.

Then an offer arrives. And buyers price on cash flow, not on what you raised. Nobody on the buy side cares what your last round valued you at. So the offer that would change a bootstrapped founder’s life barely covers the preference stack. The founder and the team, the people who built the thing, walk away with little or nothing.

That is the trap. The business is fine. The capital structure is broken. And every additional dollar raised to fix it moves the people doing the work one step further from ever seeing real money on an exit.

If you are past $5M, do this now

  1. Know your waterfall cold. At what exit price does common stock get zero? Most founders cannot answer that question, and it is the single most important number in their financial life. Build the model this week. It takes an afternoon.
  2. Get profitable. EBITDA is leverage. With buyers, with lenders, and with your own board. A profitable company negotiates. A company eight months from empty negotiates with whoever is left in the room.
  3. Raise only when you know exactly what the money buys. “Runway” is not an answer. Runway is the sound a floor makes going up. If you cannot name the specific outcome the capital purchases, and what it returns, keep the round on the shelf.
  4. Talk to buyers before you need to. Relationships with acquirers take years and cost nothing to start. Options disappear fast when cash gets tight, and the buyer can smell exactly how much runway you have left.

When raising is still right

None of this means never raise. I have raised when it was clearly the right call, and I would again. Venture capital is the correct fuel for a business with real escape velocity and a market worth owning. The point is narrower: capital is not neutral. It sets the minimum outcome at which your work pays you anything. Treat the decision with the same discipline you would apply to selling the company, because mathematically, you just did. You sold the first slice of every future exit.

The ledger

The best exits I have seen did not come from the biggest raises. They came from founders who still had a choice. Profitable enough to say no. Structured so that a good offer was good for them, not just for the preference stack above them.

Would you raise again knowing what you know now? If the honest answer is no, start running the company so you never have to.

Related reading

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Thinking through a raise, an exit, or a cap table that no longer fits?

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